Unfortunately for the American public, what should have been the most newsworthy story in the nation yesterday got lost amidst all of the hoopla surrounding the circus known as the 2016 presidential nominating process. Adding that lopsided poll into the mix makes the RealClearPolitics average show a very tight race, with Trump up about 2%, 37.5-35.2%.ĭennis Hastert at sentencing hearing in Chicago (Armando Sanchez/Tribune Photo) IPFW/Downs Center in Fort Wayne released a poll showing Cruz with a double-digit lead of 45 to 29% over Trump.
UPDATE: There's a real outlier poll added to the mix late today. Clinton should handily defeat Bernie Sanders by a 58-42% margin, helped by those who might have otherwise voted in the Democratic primary choosing to take a Republican ballot instead. The Democratic primary will draw far fewer voters. Those new voters will favor Trump, not Cruz. Click here for information on those events.Įarly voting, which started off very slow, has surged and appears to be well above average for presidential primary elections in Indiana in many counties now. He returns this weekend for rallies in Fort Wayne on Sunday at Memorial Coliseum, and he will close out his campaigning in Indiana at the Century Center in South Bend Monday evening.
Trump has had fewer appearances in Indiana, but his rallies have drawn far larger and more enthusiastic crowds. His crowds have been small compared to Trump's rallies. Cruz has also taken up residence in the state this past week, criss-crossing the state with multiple appearances. Pence's endorsement today, although his favorability numbers aren't so hot right now and that endorsement is likely to further infuriate already alienated Republican and independent voters. He threw a hail mary pass earlier in the week by naming Carly Fiorina as his running mate in hopes of attracting female voters in next week's primary election. Only two of the delegates named by state party officials publicly declared their support for Trump, although some have indicated they would feel obligated to support the voters' wishes.Ĭruz has made Indiana his last stand. Most of those delegates favored John Kasich at the time they were chosen. If I'm not around to see the vote results, my prediction is that Trump wins Indiana with just shy of 50% of the vote, but he will carry every single congressional district and sweep the delegate race-assuming the party-chosen delegates honor their rules-bound commitment to support the winner on the first ballot.
Trump is ahead by only two percentage points in that poll over Cruz, 37-35%. Trump is leading in almost every category, including likely Republican voters, young and older voters, male and even female voters.Ī second poll released by a Republican pollster, Clout Research, shows the race much closer. Kasich is far behind with just 21% of the vote. The latest poll released by ARG gives Trump a 9-point advantage over his nearest competitor, Ted Cruz. Every poll taken in Indiana shows Donald Trump leading his Republican primary opponents in next week's primary election.
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